Daily Plots
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Eau Claire
Important dates (purple dashed lines):
- May 14: First day after Stay-at-Home order reversed by state Supreme Court
- May 25: Memorial Day (typical celebrations and/or vacations)
- July 4: Independence Day (typical celebrations and/or vacations)
(green dashed lines):
- March 25: Stay-at-Home order put in place
- July 20: Large national stores putting mask mandates in place
Note: due to lag time between exposure and final positive test, effects of changes are typically observed about two weeks after event.
Wisconsin
Comment: Why a 7-day moving average? Wisconsin tends to have cyclical patterns in testing results, with low spots typically on Mondays (this may be due to lower testing on weekends)
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Not yet coded
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Numeric Summaries
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Eau Claire
| DATE | POSITIVE | NEGATIVE | DEATHS |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 09 2020 | 314 | 9065 | 1 |
| July 10 2020 | 323 | 9391 | 1 |
| July 11 2020 | 332 | 9960 | 1 |
| July 12 2020 | 338 | 10143 | 1 |
| July 13 2020 | 340 | 10382 | 1 |
| July 14 2020 | 346 | 10779 | 1 |
| July 15 2020 | 351 | 10989 | 1 |
Wisconsin
| DATE | POSITIVE | NEGATIVE | DEATHS | Hospitalization Yes | Hospitalization Unknown | Icu Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 09 2020 | 33908 | 623554 | 809 | 3726 | 10426 | 787 |
| July 10 2020 | 34753 | 635411 | 814 | 3766 | 10772 | 792 |
| July 11 2020 | 35679 | 646504 | 821 | 3797 | 11221 | 797 |
| July 12 2020 | 36448 | 653352 | 820 | 3824 | 11687 | 800 |
| July 13 2020 | 36942 | 659479 | 820 | 3850 | 11972 | 800 |
| July 14 2020 | 37906 | 673195 | 826 | 3892 | 12354 | 804 |
| July 15 2020 | 38727 | 686299 | 827 | 3923 | 12672 | 810 |
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Wisconsin
Other information:
Cumulative Plots
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References
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Data Sources
Reliable Updated Visuals
- Johns Hopkins dashboard (world, national, and county levels)
- National
https://topic.newsbreak.com/covid-19.html?zip=19934&s=dmg_local_briefing.web2
- Wisconsin DHS website, with interactive graphs; subsettable by county
Re-opening Trends: that is, why didn't the first wave end?
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Visual and code references for selected plots
I devised plots that are similar to those found, for example, at the following locations:
- Github repository by coolbaby0208
- Covid Act Now https://covidactnow.org/?s=58173
- A regional breakdown of the United States COVID-19 curve https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/heglc5/oc_a_regional_breakdown_of_the_united_states/
- Minnesota updates from Reddit https://www.reddit.com/r/minnesota/comments/h9j6pj/covid19_update_up_222_230_by_mdh_active_2780/ and https://www.reddit.com/r/minnesota/comments/hfovhg/625_update_34123_positives_360_1406_deaths_9/
- Wisconsin updates (from Redditor unknown-and-alone)
- Wisconsin updates
- https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/hjwthw/oc_countylevel_covid19_case_growth_animation_in/
Scientific References for Common Questions
Masks Should I wear a mask in enclosed public spaces? Unequivocally, YES. References for reasoning, using a current (as of July 8) accumulation of over 70 references. A few of my favorites (modeling-wise) are:
- Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis
- Background for modelling: A modelling framework to assess the likely effectiveness of facemasks in combination with ‘lock-down’ in managing the COVID-19 pandemic
- To mask or not to mask: Modeling the potential for face mask use by the general public to curtail the COVID-19 pandemic
- Face Masks Considerably Reduce COVID-19 Cases in Germany: A Synthetic Control Method Approach
A couple more in the works:
- Face mask wearing rate predicts country's COVID-19 death rates
- Association of country-wide coronavirus mortality with demographics, testing, lockdowns, and public wearing of masks (Update June 15, 2020)
- Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection for prevention of COVID-19
Media articles / letters summarizing scientific publications:
Modeling
[1] "The log cumulative deaths, at a lag of 19 days, are approximately 8 times log of cumulative cases to the 0.46 power."[1] "We thus predict that on 2020-08-04 the cumulative number of deaths in WI will be 1027"